{"id":134,"date":"2026-04-16T13:08:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T04:08:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.heibon-ojisan.com\/?p=134"},"modified":"2026-04-16T13:08:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T04:08:08","slug":"%e9%98%b2%e8%a1%9b%e6%a0%aa%e3%81%ae%e4%b8%8b%e8%90%bd%e3%81%af%e3%80%8c%e7%b1%b3%e3%82%a4%e3%83%a9%e3%83%b3%e5%81%9c%e6%88%a6%e6%9c%9f%e5%be%85%e3%80%8d%e3%81%ae%e3%82%b5%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.heibon-ojisan.com\/?p=134","title":{"rendered":"\u9632\u885b\u682a\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u300c\u7c73\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u505c\u6226\u671f\u5f85\u300d\u306e\u30b5\u30a4\u30f3\uff1f \u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u6025\u843d\u3068\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u3092\u5fb9\u5e95\u89e3\u8aac\u3010\u682a\u5f0f\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u5411\u3051\u3011"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u7686\u3055\u3093\u3001\u3053\u3093\u306b\u3061\u306f\u3002<br>\u3053\u3053\u6700\u8fd1\u3001<strong>\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u6025\u843d<\/strong>\u3068<strong>\u7c73\u56fd\u9632\u885b\u682a\uff08LMT\u3001RTX\u306a\u3069\uff09\u306e\u8edf\u8abf<\/strong>\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066<strong>\u65e5\u672c\u9632\u885b\u682a\uff08\u4e09\u83f1\u91cd\u5de5\u3001\u5ddd\u5d0e\u91cd\u5de5\u3001IHI\u306a\u3069\uff09\u306e\u9023\u52d5\u8abf\u6574<\/strong>\u304c\u6c17\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u591a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u79c1\u306f\u300c\u539f\u6cb9\u5b89\uff1d\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u7c73\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u505c\u6226\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u59cb\u3081\u305f \u2192 \u9632\u885b\u682a\u304c\u58f2\u3089\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eee\u8aac\u3092\u7acb\u3066\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u5fdc\u306f<strong>\u307e\u3055\u306b\u305d\u306e\u901a\u308a<\/strong>\u3067\u3057\u305f\u30022026\u5e744\u67088\u65e5\u306e2\u9031\u9593\u9650\u5b9a\u505c\u6226\u5408\u610f\u767a\u8868\u6642\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u597d\u4f8b\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u306f\u3001<strong>\u682a\u5f0f\u6295\u8cc7\u3092\u884c\u3046\u7686\u3055\u3093\u306e\u53c2\u8003\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046<\/strong>\u3001\u4e8b\u5b9f\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u3067\u6574\u7406\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u3068\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u4eca\u898b\u308b\u3079\u304d\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u307e\u3068\u3081\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u306f\u81ea\u5df1\u8cac\u4efb\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3057\u307e\u3059\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading jinr-heading d--bold\">1. 2026\u5e744\u6708\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u80cc\u666f\uff1a\u539f\u6cb9\u5b89\u3068\u9632\u885b\u682a\u306e\u9006\u76f8\u95a2<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list jinr-list\">\n<li><strong>4\u67088\u65e5\u505c\u6226\u5408\u610f\u6642\u306e\u52d5\u304d\uff08\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u77ac\u9593\uff09<\/strong><br>\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u304c\u300c\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u5b89\u5168\u822a\u884c\u3092\u6761\u4ef6\u306b2\u9031\u9593\u505c\u6226\u300d\u3068\u767a\u8868\u3002<br>\u2192 <strong>WTI\u539f\u6cb9\u5148\u7269\u304c\u4e00\u664215\u301c19%\u6025\u843d<\/strong>\uff08113\u30c9\u30eb\u524d\u5f8c \u2192 91\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\uff09\u3002\u904e\u53bb6\u5e74\u3067\u6700\u5927\u7d1a\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3002<br>\u2192 \u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30aa\u30f3\uff08\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u4e00\u66421,400\u5186\u8d85\u9ad8\u30015\u4e079,000\u5186\u8d85\u30004\/16\u5348\u524d\u3002\uff09<br>\u2192 <strong>\u7c73\u56fd\u9632\u885b\u682a\u306f\u9006\u306b\u4e0b\u843d<\/strong>\uff08Lockheed Martin\u306a\u3069\u30d7\u30ec\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u30671\u301c2%\u5b89\uff09\u3002\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u682a\uff08BP\u3001Shell\uff09\u3082\u9023\u843d\u3002 \u3053\u306e\u300c\u539f\u6cb9\u5b89\uff0b\u682a\u9ad8\uff0b\u9632\u885b\u682a\u5b89\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306f\u3001**\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u300c\u6226\u4e89\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u3092\u5265\u843d\u3055\u305b\u305f\u300d**\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u3057\u305f\u5178\u578b\u4f8b\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u591a\u304f\u304c\u300c\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u306a\u6226\u4e89\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u306e\u5dfb\u304d\u623b\u3057\uff08unwind\uff09\u300d\u3068\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>4\u670814\u301c15\u65e5\u306e\u6700\u65b0\u52d5\u5411<\/strong><br>\u505c\u6226\u4ea4\u6e09\u518d\u958b\u671f\u5f85\u3067WTI\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b91\u30c9\u30eb\u524d\u534a\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\uff08\u4e00\u66427.9%\u5b89\uff09\u3002<br>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u5354\u8b70\u6c7a\u88c2\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3084\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u5c01\u9396\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6b8b\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u306f\u4e71\u9ad8\u4e0b\u4e2d\u3002\u9632\u885b\u682a\u3082\u9ad8\u5024\u570f\u8abf\u6574\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading jinr-heading d--bold\">2. \u7c73\u56fd\u9632\u885b\u682a\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\uff08\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u76ee\u7dda\uff09<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3b\u529b\u9298\u67c4\u306f\u5e74\u521d\u6765\u3067\u5927\u5e45\u9ad8\uff08LMT +27%\u524d\u5f8c\u306a\u3069\uff09\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u30013\u301c4\u6708\u306b\u8abf\u6574\u5c40\u9762\u3002<br>\u4e3b\u306a\u7406\u7531\u306f\u300c\u4e8b\u524d\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u6e08\u307f\u306e\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\uff0b\u5229\u76ca\u78ba\u5b9a\u58f2\u308a\u300d\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001<strong>\u539f\u6cb9\u5b89\uff1d\u505c\u6226\u671f\u5f85<\/strong>\u304c\u30c8\u30ea\u30ac\u30fc\u306b\u306a\u308b\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u304c\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>\u9298\u67c4<\/th><th>\u30b3\u30fc\u30c9<\/th><th>\u6700\u65b0\u682a\u4fa1\u76ee\u5b89\uff084\/15\u524d\u5f8c\uff09<\/th><th>\u76f4\u8fd1\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8<\/th><th>\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u30c6\u30fc\u30de<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Lockheed Martin<\/td><td>LMT<\/td><td>610\u301c622 USD<\/td><td>\u9ad8\u5024\u570f\u8abf\u6574\uff08\u5e74\u521d\u6765+27%\u5f8c\uff09<\/td><td>\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u30fb\u822a\u7a7a\u5b87\u5b99\u4e3b\u529b<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>RTX<\/td><td>RTX<\/td><td>198\u301c201 USD<\/td><td>2%\u524d\u5f8c\u4e0b\u843d\u76ee\u7acb\u3064<\/td><td>\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u9700\u8981\u5805\u8abf<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Northrop Grumman<\/td><td>NOC<\/td><td>670\u301c678 USD<\/td><td>\u5c0f\u5e45\u5b89\u3082\u5e95\u5805\u3044<\/td><td>B-21\u7206\u6483\u6a5f\u30fb\u5b87\u5b99<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>General Dynamics<\/td><td>GD<\/td><td>335\u301c340 USD<\/td><td>\u8abf\u6574\u7d99\u7d9a<\/td><td>\u6d77\u8ecd\u30fb\u9678\u8ecd\u5951\u7d04<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u3078\u306e\u793a\u5506<\/strong>\uff1a\u505c\u6226\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u3068\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306b\u58f2\u3089\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u304c\u3001\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u653f\u6a29\u306e1.5\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u898f\u6a21\u56fd\u9632\u4e88\u7b97\u8981\u8acb\u306f\u5909\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3002Q1\u6c7a\u7b97\u3084\u8ffd\u52a0\u5951\u7d04\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u3067\u53cd\u767a\u4f59\u5730\u3042\u308a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading jinr-heading d--bold\">3. \u65e5\u672c\u9632\u885b\u682a\u306f\u300c\u3064\u3089\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u300d\u69cb\u9020<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u682a\u30824\u67088\u65e5\u306e\u505c\u6226\u5831\u9053\u3067<strong>\u5168\u4f53\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30aa\u30f3<\/strong>\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3001\u9632\u885b\u30c6\u30fc\u30de\u306f\u76f8\u5bfe\u7684\u306b\u8abf\u6574\u3002<br>\u7406\u7531\u306f\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list jinr-list\">\n<li>\u539f\u6cb9\u5b89 \u2192 \u65e5\u672c\u4f01\u696d\u53ce\u76ca\u6539\u5584\uff08\u8f38\u5165\u56fd\u30e1\u30ea\u30c3\u30c8\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u7de9\u548c \u2192 \u9632\u885b\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u5265\u843d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u91cd\u5de53\u793e\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1<\/strong>\uff082026\u5e74\u5ea6\u9632\u885b\u4e88\u7b979.3\u5146\u5186\u8d85\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list jinr-list\">\n<li>\u4e09\u83f1\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\uff087011\uff09\uff1a\u9632\u885b\u53d7\u6ce81\u4f4d\u3002\u6b21\u671f\u6226\u95d8\u6a5f\uff08GCAP\uff09\u306a\u3069\u3067\u9577\u671f\u6210\u9577\u671f\u5f85\u5927\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5ddd\u5d0e\u91cd\u5de5\u696d\uff087012\uff09\u30fbIHI\uff087013\uff09\uff1a\u822a\u7a7a\u30fb\u8266\u8247\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u53d7\u6ce8\u3002\u751f\u7523\u80fd\u529b\u62e1\u5927\u304c\u9375\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5168\u4f53\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001<strong>\u77ed\u671f\u306f\u30dc\u30e9\u9ad8\u3044\u304c\u3001\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u306f\u300c\u56fd\u7b56\u30c6\u30fc\u30de\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5f37\u6c17<\/strong>\u3002\u9632\u885b\u751f\u7523\u57fa\u76e4\u5f37\u5316\u6cd5\u3067\u5229\u76ca\u7387\u5411\u4e0a\uff088%\u219215%\u60f3\u5b9a\uff09\u3001\u6b66\u5668\u8f38\u51fa\u7de9\u548c\u3082\u8ffd\u3044\u98a8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading jinr-heading d--bold\">4. \u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u4eca\u30c1\u30a7\u30c3\u30af\u3059\u3079\u304d\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list jinr-list\">\n<li><strong>\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/strong><br>WTI 90\u30c9\u30eb\u5272\u308c\u3067\u505c\u6226\u671f\u5f85\u5f37\u307e\u308b \u2192 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